Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eastleigh in this match.