SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
63.19% ( 0.01) | 20.61% ( -0.13) | 16.2% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.59% ( 0.78) | 43.41% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.2% ( 0.76) | 65.8% ( -0.77) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% ( 0.24) | 13.1% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.27% ( 0.5) | 39.73% ( -0.5) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.12% ( 0.63) | 39.88% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.46% ( 0.57) | 76.54% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.27)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.14% Total : 63.18% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.61% | 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.2% |
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