Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eastleigh in this match.
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