SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Fylde |
48.57% ( -0.45) | 22.49% ( 0.17) | 28.95% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 63.84% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.58% ( -0.63) | 36.43% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.44% ( -0.69) | 58.56% ( 0.69) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.62% ( -0.39) | 15.38% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.82% ( -0.73) | 44.18% ( 0.73) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.44% ( -0.14) | 24.56% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.96% ( -0.2) | 59.04% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Fylde |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.02% Total : 48.57% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.95% |
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