SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Fylde |
39.53% ( 0.48) | 25.18% ( 0.04) | 35.3% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.25) | 46.61% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0.23) | 68.88% ( 0.23) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( 0.14) | 23.37% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( 0.2) | 57.34% ( -0.2) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( -0.41) | 25.66% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.43% ( -0.57) | 60.57% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.3% |
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