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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Rochdale |
27.78% ( 0.58) | 24.38% ( 0.08) | 47.84% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 56.25% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.97% ( 0.05) | 46.03% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.66% ( 0.05) | 68.34% ( -0.05) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( 0.46) | 30.27% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( 0.55) | 66.45% ( -0.55) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( -0.25) | 19.33% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.9% ( -0.41) | 51.1% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.78% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.84% |
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