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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Annan Athletic |
27.16% ( -1.3) | 22.69% ( -0.11) | 50.16% ( 1.41) |
| Both teams to score 61.6% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.27% ( -0.46) | 38.73% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.96% ( -0.49) | 61.04% ( 0.49) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( -1.12) | 26.94% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% ( -1.5) | 62.28% ( 1.5) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( 0.33) | 15.68% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.28% ( 0.61) | 44.72% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.77% Total : 50.16% |
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