Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Elbasan Arena
Ararat-Armenia win 4-2 on penalties
Medeiros (3'), Kasa (36'),
Dwamena (108', 120+4')
Musta (7'), Zejnullai (113')
FT
(aet)
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Egnatia Rrogozhine and Ararat-Armenia.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 72.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Egnatia Rrogozhine had a probability of 9.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.49%) and 0-3 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Egnatia Rrogozhine win it was 1-0 (3.86%).
| Result |
| Egnatia Rrogozhine | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
9.26% ( -0.07) | 17.78% ( 0.01) | 72.96% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 40.66% ( -0.27) |
| 52.34% ( -0.22) | 47.66% ( 0.22) |
| 30.14% ( -0.2) | 69.86% ( 0.2) |
| 46% ( -0.28) | 54% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.73% ( -0.17) | 87.27% ( 0.18) |
| 88.4% ( -0.04) | 11.6% ( 0.04) |
