SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Villarreal II |
68.57% ( 0.18) | 19.91% ( -0.08) | 11.52% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 42.1% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% ( 0.1) | 50.35% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% ( 0.08) | 72.29% ( -0.08) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.34% ( 0.08) | 13.65% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.16% ( 0.16) | 40.84% ( -0.16) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.76% ( -0.11) | 51.23% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.5% ( -0.07) | 85.5% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 68.55% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.91% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 11.52% |
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