Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 46.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
0.61) 
-0.22) 
