SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 46.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
46.05% ( 0.61) | 27.72% ( -0.22) | 26.23% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 45.13% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.07% ( 0.54) | 59.93% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.82% ( 0.41) | 80.18% ( -0.41) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( 0.56) | 26.04% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( 0.75) | 61.08% ( -0.74) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% ( -0.03) | 38.98% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.3% ( -0.03) | 75.7% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 13.65% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 46.05% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 26.23% |
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