SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Burgos |
56.6% ( 0.23) | 24.36% ( 0.06) | 19.04% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 46.2% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.69% ( -0.57) | 54.3% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.31% ( -0.48) | 75.69% ( 0.48) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( -0.13) | 19.07% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.33% ( -0.21) | 50.67% ( 0.21) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.08% ( -0.66) | 42.92% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.78% ( -0.57) | 79.22% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 56.59% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.04% |
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