Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.