SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Villarreal II |
54.79% ( -0.41) | 26.26% ( 0.2) | 18.95% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 41.18% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.09% ( -0.42) | 60.9% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.08% ( -0.31) | 80.92% ( 0.31) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( -0.35) | 22.44% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% ( -0.52) | 55.98% ( 0.52) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.09% ( -0) | 46.9% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.58% ( -0) | 82.41% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 15.72% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.61% Total : 54.78% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.95% |
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