Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 34.71%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (6.8%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (13.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
0.78) 
-0.09) 
