Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.09%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.03) 
