SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Montserrat had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Montserrat win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for El Salvador in this match.
| Result | ||
| El Salvador | Draw | Montserrat |
51.39% ( -3) | 24.26% ( 0.5) | 24.35% ( 2.51) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( 1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( 0.42) | 48.23% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( 0.39) | 70.38% ( -0.38) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( -0.98) | 18.76% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.84% ( -1.67) | 50.16% ( 1.68) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.81% ( 2.53) | 34.18% ( -2.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% ( 2.62) | 70.88% ( -2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| El Salvador | Draw | Montserrat |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.76)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.6)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.33)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.52)0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.2% Total : 24.35% |
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