SM
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Montserrat win it was 1-2 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bonaire | Draw | Montserrat |
55.11% ( -2.57) | 22.64% ( 0.97) | 22.24% ( 1.6) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% ( -2.38) | 43.37% ( 2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.23% ( -2.38) | 65.76% ( 2.38) |
| Bonaire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -1.64) | 15.62% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.37% ( -3.14) | 44.62% ( 3.13) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( 0.16) | 33.38% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.99% ( 0.17) | 70.01% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonaire | Draw | Montserrat |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.37)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.35)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.6% Total : 55.12% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.53)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.6)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.3% Total : 22.24% |
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