SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 59.93%. A win for Montserrat had a probability of 20.26% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-3 (7.15%). The likeliest Montserrat win was 2-1 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonaire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montserrat | Draw | Bonaire |
20.26% ( -0.14) | 19.8% ( -0.06) | 59.93% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 63.37% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.38% ( 0.1) | 32.62% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.72% ( 0.11) | 54.28% ( -0.12) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.07) | 29.03% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.06% ( -0.08) | 64.94% ( 0.08) |
| Bonaire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.29% ( 0.08) | 10.7% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.38% ( 0.18) | 34.62% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montserrat | Draw | Bonaire |
| 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 20.26% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.8% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.15% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.78% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.99% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 59.93% |
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