SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 1-3 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Elversberg win it was 2-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
18.65% ( 0.11) | 19.11% ( 0.09) | 62.24% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 63.05% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.23% ( -0.25) | 31.76% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.71% ( -0.29) | 53.29% ( 0.3) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( -0.05) | 30.04% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.84% ( -0.06) | 66.16% ( 0.06) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.12% ( -0.12) | 9.88% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.25% ( -0.27) | 32.75% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 18.65% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.11% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.38% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.69% Total : 62.24% |
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