Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 1-3 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Elversberg win it was 2-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Elversberg	Draw	Hamburger SV
18.65% ( 0.11)	19.11% ( 0.09)	62.24% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 63.05% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.23% (

-0.25)

31.76% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.71% (

-0.29)

53.29% (

0.3)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.96% (

-0.05)

30.04% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.84% (

-0.06)

66.16% (

0.06)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.12% (

-0.12)

9.88% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.25% (

-0.27)

32.75% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Elversberg 18.65%

Hamburger SV 62.24%

Draw 19.11%

Elversberg	Draw	Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 18.65%	1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.11%	1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 62.24%