SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
31.19% ( -0.22) | 23.49% ( 0.01) | 45.32% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 61.58% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.01% ( -0.15) | 39.99% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.64% ( -0.15) | 62.36% ( 0.15) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( -0.21) | 24.93% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.44% ( -0.29) | 59.56% ( 0.29) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( 0.03) | 17.97% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.19% ( 0.05) | 48.81% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
| 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.19% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 45.32% |
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