Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
50.91% (![]() | 23.28% (![]() | 25.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.38% (![]() | 42.62% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.97% (![]() | 65.03% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.16% (![]() | 16.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.17% (![]() | 46.83% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% (![]() | 29.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% (![]() | 66.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
2-1 @ 9.65% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.91% | 1-1 @ 10.83% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.53% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 25.81% |
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