Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 66.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 11.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.72%) and 3-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.03) 
