SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 38.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.2%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
38.05% ( 0.02) | 23.29% ( 0.02) | 38.65% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.21% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.68% ( -0.09) | 37.32% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.46% ( -0.1) | 59.53% ( 0.1) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( -0.03) | 20.01% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.8% ( -0.05) | 52.2% ( 0.05) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( -0.06) | 19.72% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.25% ( -0.09) | 51.74% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.16% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 38.65% |
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