SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Luton Town |
36.87% ( -0.06) | 26.36% ( -0.15) | 36.77% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.27% ( 0.64) | 51.72% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.5% ( 0.56) | 73.49% ( -0.56) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( 0.27) | 27.16% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.44% ( 0.35) | 62.56% ( -0.35) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( 0.43) | 27.22% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( 0.56) | 62.63% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.77% |
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