SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Manchester City |
17.15% ( 0.41) | 21.16% ( 0.13) | 61.68% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.86% ( 0.15) | 44.14% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.48% ( 0.14) | 66.52% ( -0.14) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.85% ( 0.59) | 39.15% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.14% ( 0.55) | 75.86% ( -0.54) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.22% ( -0.11) | 13.78% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.91% ( -0.23) | 41.09% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Manchester City |
| 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.15% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.16% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( -0.16)1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.47% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 61.68% |
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