SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
29.64% ( 0.1) | 24.78% ( 0.03) | 45.57% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% ( -0.06) | 46.69% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( -0.06) | 68.96% ( 0.06) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( 0.04) | 29.27% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.76% ( 0.05) | 65.23% ( -0.05) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( -0.08) | 20.56% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( -0.13) | 53.07% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.64% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.57% |
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