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FC
CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 8, 2024 at 12am UK
Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
0 - 1
Monterrey


Nwobodo (26'), Baird (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vazquez (24')
Rodriguez (55'), Vegas (64')
Aguirre (70')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between FC Cincinnati and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawMonterrey
40.81% (-0.199 -0.2) 25.38% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 33.81% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.95% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (0.134 0.13)47.79% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (0.123 0.12)69.98% (-0.12 -0.12)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)23.24% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.058 -0.06)57.16% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (0.199 0.2)27.1% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (0.259 0.26)62.49% (-0.256 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 40.81%
    Monterrey 33.81%
    Draw 25.38%
FC CincinnatiDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.81%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-0 Cavalier
Thursday, February 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cavalier 0-2 Cincinnati
Friday, February 23 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-3 Columbus Crew
Saturday, December 2 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, November 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Pumas
Monday, March 4 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Monterrey
Thursday, February 29 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-3 Monterrey
Saturday, February 24 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-0 Toluca
Monday, February 19 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Comunicaciones
Friday, February 16 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Monterrey 3-2 Pachuca
Sunday, February 11 at 3.10am in Liga MX


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