Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
Result | ||
Monterrey | Draw | Pachuca |
56.54% ( -0.04) | 22.81% ( 0.04) | 20.64% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.32% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.9% ( -0.18) | 46.1% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.6% ( -0.17) | 68.4% ( 0.17) |
Monterrey Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.91% ( -0.07) | 16.09% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.51% ( -0.14) | 45.49% ( 0.14) |
Pachuca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.54% ( -0.1) | 36.46% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.75% ( -0.1) | 73.25% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Monterrey | Draw | Pachuca |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 56.54% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.64% |
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