SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Baltika |
58.5% ( 0.04) | 23.56% ( -0) | 17.93% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.6% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.24% ( -0.04) | 52.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.61% ( -0.03) | 74.39% ( 0.03) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( 0) | 17.78% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.5% ( 0) | 48.49% ( -0) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.68% ( -0.06) | 43.31% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.44% ( -0.05) | 79.55% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Baltika |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 58.5% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.56% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 17.93% |
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