SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
31.67% ( 0.1) | 26.31% ( 0.07) | 42.02% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.68% ( -0.24) | 52.32% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% ( -0.21) | 74.01% ( 0.21) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( -0.05) | 30.72% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.02% ( -0.07) | 66.98% ( 0.06) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( -0.2) | 24.64% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% ( -0.27) | 59.15% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.67% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.02% |
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