SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
49.07% ( -0.16) | 24.63% ( 0.07) | 26.31% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.86% ( -0.23) | 48.14% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( -0.21) | 70.3% ( 0.21) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( -0.16) | 19.66% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( -0.25) | 51.63% ( 0.25) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( -0.05) | 32.51% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( -0.06) | 69.04% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.31% |
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