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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 10, 2024 at 11am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
1 - 0
Baltika

Marin (80')
Perez (16')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kaplenko (45+3')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Baltika.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CSKA 1-1 Orenburg
Saturday, March 2 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Baltika 0-0 Sochi
Sunday, March 3 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orenburg in this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawBaltika
51.96% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 25.18% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 22.86% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 49.02% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (-0.415 -0.41)53.28% (0.413 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (-0.353 -0.35)74.83% (0.35199999999999 0.35)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)20.51% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (-0.232 -0.23)53% (0.232 0.23)
Baltika Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-0.349 -0.35)38.33% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (-0.335 -0.33)75.09% (0.333 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 51.95%
    Baltika 22.86%
    Draw 25.18%
OrenburgDrawBaltika
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.87% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.21% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 51.95%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 22.86%

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Form Guide
Last Game: CSKA 1-1 Orenburg
Saturday, March 2 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 1-1 Orenburg
Sunday, December 10 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 2-1 Orenburg
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 1-1 Akhmat Grozny
Sunday, November 26 at 9am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 2-0 Orenburg
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 1-1 Rostov
Monday, November 6 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Baltika 0-0 Sochi
Sunday, March 3 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Baltika 0-1 Rubin Kazan
Sunday, December 10 at 4.45pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 0-0 Baltika
Saturday, December 2 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Baltika 0-2 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, November 25 at 4.45pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Baltika
Sunday, November 12 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Baltika 0-2 Zenit
Saturday, November 4 at 4pm in Russian Premier League


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