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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Apr 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stade Municipal 1
K

Nizhny Novgorod
3 - 4
Krasnodar

Kalinsky (34'), Troshechkin (40'), Kukharchuk (87')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Glushchenkov (8' og.), Cordoba (13', 71'), Spertsyan (79')
Chernikov (47'), Bachi (57')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Nizhny Novgorod and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Baltika 2-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-1 Krasnodar
Sunday, March 31 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.

Result
Nizhny NovgorodDrawFC Krasnodar
30% (0.331 0.33) 27.01% (-0.131 -0.13) 42.98% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 49.35% (0.538 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.609 0.61)55.66% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.494 0.49)76.81% (-0.501 -0.5)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.37% (0.56899999999999 0.57)33.63% (-0.574 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.72% (0.615 0.62)70.28% (-0.622 -0.62)
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (0.17099999999999 0.17)25.65% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (0.233 0.23)60.55% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Nizhny Novgorod 30%
    FC Krasnodar 42.98%
    Draw 27.01%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawFC Krasnodar
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.12% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.86% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 11.73% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.99% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.98%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Baltika 2-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rubin Kazan 0-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, March 9 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Fakel
Sunday, March 3 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, December 9 at 4.45pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Ural
Saturday, December 2 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, November 26 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-1 Krasnodar
Sunday, March 31 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 2-1 Krasnodar
Friday, March 8 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 1-1 Rubin Kazan
Saturday, March 2 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 1-0 CSKA
Sunday, December 10 at 4.45pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 2-1 Orenburg
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 3-1 Krasnodar
Sunday, November 26 at 11am in Russian Premier League


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