SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for BATE Borisov in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
17.86% ( 0.2) | 23.31% ( 0.04) | 58.82% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 47.19% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% ( 0.15) | 51.91% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( 0.13) | 73.65% ( -0.13) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.1% ( 0.34) | 42.89% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.8% ( 0.28) | 79.2% ( -0.28) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.64% ( -0.03) | 17.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.24% ( -0.05) | 47.76% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.86% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 11.41% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.66% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.64% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 58.81% |
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