SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Naftan |
59.36% ( 0.41) | 22.18% ( -0.07) | 18.46% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% ( -0.23) | 46.41% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.31% ( -0.22) | 68.69% ( 0.22) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( 0.06) | 15.26% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.06% ( 0.11) | 43.94% ( -0.1) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.04% ( -0.52) | 38.97% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.31% ( -0.5) | 75.69% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Naftan |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 59.35% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.17% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.23% Total : 18.46% |
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