Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
44.69% ( 0.07)	25.29% ( 0.06)	30.02% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 54.71% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.28% (

-0.3)

48.72% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.17% (

-0.27)

70.83% (

0.27)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.2% (

-0.09)

21.79% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45% (

-0.14)

55% (

0.15)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.96% (

-0.23)

30.04% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.83% (

-0.29)

66.17% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 44.69%

Jubilo Iwata 30.02%

Draw 25.29%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.69%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.02%