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J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 17, 2022 at 10am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Kimoto (4'), Watanabe (14')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Omori (58'), Otsu (60'), Graca (81')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 3-0 FC Tokyo
Sunday, July 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 9 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawJubilo Iwata
52.96% (0.223 0.22) 26.19% (0.262 0.26) 20.85% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 43.85% (-1.277 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.2% (-1.352 -1.35)58.81% (1.355 1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.68% (-1.061 -1.06)79.32% (1.064 1.06)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.46499999999999 -0.46)22.35% (0.468 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (-0.704 -0.7)55.83% (0.70800000000001 0.71)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.47% (-1.298 -1.3)43.54% (1.301 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.26% (-1.096 -1.1)79.74% (1.099 1.1)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 52.95%
    Jubilo Iwata 20.85%
    Draw 26.19%
FC TokyoDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 14.57% (0.53 0.53)
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.73% (0.488 0.49)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.126 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.04% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 20.85%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Urawa 3-0 FC Tokyo
Sunday, July 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-0 Consadole
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, July 2 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 5-0 FC Tokyo
Sunday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, May 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 9 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, July 2 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, June 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-2 Yokohama
Sunday, May 29 at 8am in J1 League


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