J1 League | Gameweek 17
May 31, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Tokyo in this match.
| Result |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | FC Tokyo |
30.87% ( -0.25) | 24.84% ( -0.03) | 44.28% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 56.67% ( -0.03) |
| 53.63% ( 0.01) | 46.36% ( -0.02) |
| 31.35% ( 0.01) | 68.65% ( -0.02) |
| 71.73% ( -0.15) | 28.27% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.01% ( -0.2) | 63.98% ( 0.19) |
| 79.01% ( 0.12) | 20.99% ( -0.13) |
