SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Volendam |
74.76% ( 1.68) | 15.12% ( -0.6) | 10.12% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( -1.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.82% ( -0.32) | 32.18% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.22% ( -0.38) | 53.78% ( 0.37) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.74% ( 0.26) | 7.26% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.69% ( 0.68) | 26.31% ( -0.69) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.2% ( -2.15) | 41.8% ( 2.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.74% ( -1.94) | 78.26% ( 1.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.52)2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.42)4-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.26)5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.13)6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.59% Total : 74.75% | 1-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.3)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.12% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.12% |
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