SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Utrecht |
27.53% ( 0.46) | 24.6% ( 0.17) | 47.87% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.84% ( -0.4) | 47.16% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% ( -0.38) | 69.4% ( 0.38) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( 0.14) | 31.05% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% ( 0.16) | 67.36% ( -0.16) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( -0.42) | 19.77% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( -0.68) | 51.81% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 27.53% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.87% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
