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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.03%) and 0-1 (6.74%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
24.49% ( -0.91) | 21.06% ( -0.06) | 54.45% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 64.79% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.63% ( -0.64) | 33.37% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.85% ( -0.74) | 55.15% ( 0.74) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( -1.01) | 26.01% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( -1.38) | 61.03% ( 1.38) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% ( 0.07) | 12.43% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.64% ( 0.14) | 38.36% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.49% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.27)0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.43% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 54.45% |
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