SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
37.12% ( 0.43) | 25.09% ( 0.1) | 37.79% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 57.44% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% ( -0.44) | 46.08% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% ( -0.42) | 68.38% ( 0.42) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( 0.03) | 24.39% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( 0.04) | 58.81% ( -0.04) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.47) | 24.03% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.7% ( -0.68) | 58.3% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.79% |
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