SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.92%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 17.71% and a draw had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (4.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
17.71% ( 0.73) | 17.37% ( 0.3) | 64.92% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 68.18% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.35% ( -0.14) | 24.65% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.54% ( -0.19) | 44.45% ( 0.19) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% ( 0.61) | 26.42% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% ( 0.81) | 61.58% ( -0.81) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.66% ( -0.24) | 7.34% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.5% ( -0.61) | 26.5% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.34% Total : 17.71% | 1-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.37% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.67% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 5.01% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.62% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.11)2-5 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.88% Total : 64.92% |
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