SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
32.2% ( 0.26) | 24.81% ( 0.17) | 42.99% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( -0.65) | 45.72% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( -0.62) | 68.04% ( 0.62) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -0.15) | 27.1% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% ( -0.2) | 62.48% ( 0.2) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% ( -0.47) | 21.31% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.75% ( -0.73) | 54.25% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.2% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.99% |
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