Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 61.11%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 19.77% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 3-1 (7.33%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.