Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
Result | ||
Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Jong AZ |
33.62% ( -0.37) | 23.4% ( -0.13) | 42.97% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 62.97% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.39% ( 0.51) | 38.61% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.09% ( 0.53) | 60.91% ( -0.54) |
Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.14% ( 0.03) | 22.85% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.41% ( 0.05) | 56.58% ( -0.06) |
Jong AZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.63% ( 0.41) | 18.37% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.5% ( 0.7) | 49.49% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Jong AZ |
2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 33.62% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.66% Total : 42.97% |
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