SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.13%) and 1-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
54.16% ( -0.26) | 21.25% ( -0.03) | 24.59% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 64.24% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.86% ( 0.47) | 34.14% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.97% ( 0.53) | 56.02% ( -0.53) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( 0.08) | 12.77% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.94% ( 0.16) | 39.06% ( -0.17) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( 0.47) | 26.35% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.51% ( 0.63) | 61.49% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 24.59% |
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