SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.32%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Liverpool |
26.4% ( 0.06) | 29.28% ( 0.03) | 44.32% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 41.31% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.19% ( -0.05) | 64.81% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.24% ( -0.04) | 83.76% ( 0.04) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.4% ( 0.03) | 41.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.91% ( 0.02) | 78.09% ( -0.02) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( -0.08) | 29.27% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% ( -0.09) | 65.23% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.2% Total : 26.39% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 14.96% 0-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 44.32% |
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