SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 41.7%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 28.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Fenix |
28.97% ( -0.26) | 29.32% ( 0.13) | 41.7% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.58% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.06% ( -0.47) | 63.94% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.86% ( -0.34) | 83.14% ( 0.33) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.08% ( -0.47) | 38.92% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.35% ( -0.45) | 75.65% ( 0.45) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( -0.16) | 30.29% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( -0.19) | 66.47% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.53% Total : 28.97% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.31% | 0-1 @ 14.08% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 41.7% |
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