SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Boston River |
33.97% ( -0.21) | 28.64% ( 0.07) | 37.39% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.82% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.37% ( -0.25) | 60.64% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.28% ( -0.19) | 80.72% ( 0.19) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% ( -0.28) | 33.41% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( -0.3) | 70.04% ( 0.3) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( -0.04) | 31.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.47% ( -0.05) | 67.54% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.97% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 37.39% |
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