SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Fenix |
39.12% ( -0.08) | 29.08% ( 0.17) | 31.8% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.2% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.57% ( -0.58) | 62.43% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.95% ( -0.43) | 82.05% ( 0.43) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( -0.34) | 31.04% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% ( -0.4) | 67.36% ( 0.4) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% ( -0.38) | 35.9% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% ( -0.39) | 72.68% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.11% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 2% Total : 31.8% |
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